Hard to argue with the signs as they fit into the bigger economic picture.
The Chinese economy has done fantastically well for a long time, and huge investments have been made into building all manner of things in China. But this means that there is now a great deal of overcapacity in the system, the owners of the un-needed factories, machinery and apartment blocks are not going to be able to pay back their financial backers. Mostly, the money came from Chinese banks, but also international banks such as HSBC and Standard Chartered. The government can keep pumping money into the system to keep liquidity, but the private banks may cut off the supply of money soon because, if the BBC is to be believed, China's debts are increasing by 2-3 trillion $ a year.
Saw a thing on ChinaWire yesterday which said that American manufacturing is the most efficient in the world in terms of production per worker and costs only $4 on average more than Chinese made products. China is way behind in the efficiency ratings because they typically employ way more people than they need to do the job and don't pay enough attention to efficiency. When salaries were 1000RMB per month for migrant workers, that didn't matter so much. Now, salaries for migrant workers are around the 3000 mark, so China is no longer a super cheap place to manufacture goods. The Chinese economy was until recently totally dependent on exporting manufactured goods. When the heart of an economy takes hit after hit, the rest of the economy will suffer. Globalisation has made China rich, but also made it's main attraction - cheap labour - not so cheap anymore.
But, it's not all doom and gloom. China has a couple of things in it's favour. 1) a strong government with greater control over the economy than most.
2) A hardworking and motivated workforce who are prepared to seize opportunities.
Alien, you are right - the economy as a whole isn't shrinking, that would be a depression. But, manufacturing IS shrinking as companies move to Vietnam and other places cheaper than China. This means that the economic growth rate (as a percentage of the whole) is falling fast.
China's national football team training in Kunming
Posted by@Ocean, I really hope those 3 wishes can come true. Qualifying is plausible. FIFA are talking about expanding future finals to 40 teams, which would give China a better chance. I'd love it if China hosted the World Cup, the sooner the better! Winning it wont be realistic for another 15 years or so (for the men at least - the women are excellent).
Lijiang vendors strike, protesting old town entry fee
Posted byit used to be that you were exempt from the entrance fee if you had a hotel/hostel booking within the 'old' town. Is that no longer the case?
Whilst I agree with lowering the entrance fee to something like 30-50rmb, I don't have much sympathy with the retailers/hostels/bars inside Lijiang, who have basically ruined a beautiful town with their blaring music, crap hand drumming, and IDENTICAL products for sale everywhere. Have some originality!
Chinese Dragon Boat Festival
Posted byprobably bad form for foreigners to win Janjal
Chinese village turns to mass divorce in face of impending demolition
Posted byhahah, greedy buggers. Still, as Dudeson says, fight fire with fire
A conversation with brewer and pub owner 'Uncle John'
Posted bylook at the chalkboard pic tiger