@Trumpster I agree with your logic and conclusion. In fact, my thinking is about the same as yours. I would add in the concept of pre-control vice post-control.
Post-control is easier as it is reactive and demands only fast responses such as quarantine and denial of movement.
Pre-control is a prevention effort requiring a huge push to educate and change hygiene habits. It faces the resistance of centuries cultural knowledge.
Given the current virus is asymptomatic while the victim is contagious for up to 14 days, post-control fails as the R0 factor could be quite high. The R0 factor refers to how many other people one sick person is likely to infect on average. For a discussion of R0 and progression see:
www.newscientist.com/[...]
Reliance on traditional medical practices, while less costly, hasn't promoted effective pre-controls (hygiene) and the current post-controls are terribly ineffective.
Fortunately the apparent mortality rate is low so we can hope. I'm guessing there will be a huge number of cases with a low mortality rate.
WASH your hands.
Join us December 15 for the fourth annual Have a Heart Fundraiser!
Posted byIs Dr. Detrano still associated with this excellent program?
Iconic Kunming landmark getting subterranean facelift
Posted byMany years ago in Beijing on a very cold and windy winter day, I had to go to 中关村 (zhongguancun) to buy some camera stuff to take on Spring Festival. Walking out of the campus I ran into a student who was going there as well so I invited him to join me in the taxi ride. For some reason we could not get closer than 3-4 blocks to destination and were left with a walk facing North into the biting wind. No problem as my student turned guide and led me into a building and down stairs deep underground. We walked through huge underground rooms with high ceilings. I was amazed so the student took me down another level as we walked North,
My guess, after checking a map, was the we walked about 700 meters and the voids were about 80-100 meters wide. My guide told me this was a bomb shelter.
A few years later, these spaces were, in true Chinese style, were bustling with businesses. All partitions and fixtures were movable and temporary so it wouldn't take but minutes to restore most of the empty space. In some areas, escalators descended and rose and it seemed as if the buildings above expanded downward. In other areas, the huge void spaces remained empty.
Clearly a plan was in effect. I have no idea what it was and I had no interest in asking questions.
Fulintang: Yunnan's oldest apothecary
Posted by@bilingualexpat Good to hear. This is great old building. I hope no one gets greedy enough to tear it down. 不拆！
Summiting Yunnan's majestic Haba Snow Mountain
Posted byI have to agree with @alien. New or borrowed boots can lead to misery and pain. Take care of your feet.
Gulls arrival in Kunming warrants special treatment
Posted by@bilingualexpat Thanks. My first trip into China was in 1984. Didn't get to Kunming in those days and probably wasn't allowed to go. Today's Chinese kids should see these photos. I am fortunate to have witnessed China's progress over 30 years.